Get Your FHA Mortgage Application Started — Fees Increase 1/2 Percent Starting Monday, April 5, 2010

Starting Monday, April 5, 2010, getting an FHA mortgage will be more expensive for borrowers.

In new guidelines set forth earlier this year, the FHA announced plans to raise additional revenue and reduce the overall risk of its mortgage portfolio. 

The changes include the following:

1. Increase Upfront Mortgage Insurance Premiums from 1.75% to 2.25% for everyone
2. A plan to reduce seller concessions from 6 percent to 3 percent
3. An increase in minimum downpayment for FICOs 580 or lower

For your own loan, to avoid being subject to higher loan costs, make sure to have your FHA Case Number assigned prior to Monday, April 5, 2010.  That means you’ll want to give a full mortgage application before the weekend so your lender can register your loan in time for the deadline.

But don’t leave your application to the last minute.

Friday is Good Friday so most banks will be closed. Your true FHA deadline, therefore, is Thursday April 1.

Also worth noting is that the FHA isn’t done with its changes.

In its policy statement, the group also announced its plans to petition Congress to raise monthly mortgage insurance premiums.  The FHA’s formal request, in summary:

1. Raise monthly premiums by roughly 0.30%, or $25 per $100,000 borrowed per month
2. Lower upfront mortgage insurance premiums by 1.25%, or $1,250 per $100,000 borrowed at closing

For now, the request is neither approved nor acknowledged by Congress. It’s merely a request. And in the event that Congress does approves it, the FHA reserves the right to change its projections.  Either way, it means higher costs for consumers. 

The best plan, therefore, is to get your FHA mortgage into underwriting ahead of the switches because borrowing money will be harder, and more costly.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : March 29, 2010

Mortgage markets tanked last week, raising rates to their highest levels in a month. 

Most of the losses occurred Wednesday in what was the worst 1-day mortgage market performance in more than 6 months. Even Friday’s rally could barely dent the losses. Most of the movement was tied to geopolitical concerns and worries of a ballooning federal debt load. 

The best time to lock a conventional or FHA mortgage rate last week was Tuesday morning.

This week, markets should remain volatile. There’s a large set of economic data due for release, plus trading volume will thin as the week goes on because markets are closed Friday for Good Friday.

Coincidentally, Friday is also the day that the March jobs report is released.

The non-farm payroll report is expected to show net job growth of 187,000 in March. This is a large number as compared to last month’s net loss of 36,000 job. However, analysts are already dismissing March’s numbers as skewed by both the bad storms of February, and the temporary hiring of Census workers.

In most months, major job growth would be bad for mortgage rates.  This month, that won’t be the case. It will take a figure north of 200,000 to cause rates to rise and the higher the actual number, the more that rates will respond.

Also this week, on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s $1.25 trillion program to support mortgage markets sunsets. Fed insiders estimate that the program dropped rates 1 percent since its inception in 2008. It’s reasonable that mortgage rates will rise after its end, therefore.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : March 22, 2010

Mortgage markets closed unchanged last week, but that’s not say mortgage rates were calm. Monday through Wednesday, rates improved steadily before a swift, late-week sell-off unwound the gains.

Mortgage rates have been very low for a very long time — against the expectations of most market experts.  The speed of the Thursday-Friday reversal may signal that markets are preparing for change.

One key story from last week was the Federal Open Market Committee’s scheduled Tuesday meeting. Upon adjournment, the Fed voted 9-1 to hold the Fed Funds rate in its current target range near 0.000% and reiterated its plan to keep rates low for “an extended period of time”. 

Kansas Fed President Thomas Hoenig was the lone dissenting vote.

For rate shoppers , take note. 

The Fed specifically mentioned that the its $1.25 trillion mortgage buyback program will end, as planned, March 31, 2010.  This could force rates higher over the next two weeks because, according to the Fed, the existence of a buyback program forced rates lower by 1 percentage point in 2009.

When the program ends, it’s expected that markets will give back some of that 1 percent, leading to higher mortgage rates for conventional and FHA borrowers.

This week, in addition to the buyback program’s looming end-date, there’s several other potential influences on mortgage rates:

1. The Existing Home Sales data for February is released Tuesday, along with the Home Price Index
2. The New Home Sales data for February is released Wednesday
3. Consumer Confidence data hits Friday

Strength in any — or all three — of these reports should put pressure on mortgage rates to rise.

But there’s one wildcard this week and that’s the aforementioned Kansas Fed President Hoenig’s scheduled speech Wednesday morning. Typically, Fed members stay on message when making public appearances, but Hoenig is expected to talk about why rates should be higher, and what the Fed needs to do to prepare the economy for late-2010 and beyond.

His words could lead Wall Street to rethink its position on the mortgage bond market and that could cause rates to spike Wednesday afternoon.

Mortgage rates remain volatile and are still relatively low. If you’re unsure of whether now is a good time to lock in, consider that there’s a lot more room for rates to rise than to fall right now. Especially with momentum shifting for the worse.

For Clues About the Future of Mortgage Rates, Watch For Inflation

Homes are more affordable across the nation as the housing market emerges from a slow winter season with mortgage rates still near 5 percent.

Soft housing and low rates are an excellent combination for home buyers but whereas home values rise with a gradual pace, mortgage rates change in an instant.  It’s something worth watching.

Each 0.25% increase to conventional or FHA rates adds approximately $16 per month for each $100,000 borrowed. Mortgage rate volatility can change your household budget.

If you’re trying to gauge whether rates will be rising or falling, one keyword for which to listen is “inflation”. Mortgage rates are highly responsive to inflation.

By definition, inflation is when a currency loses its value; when what used to cost $2.00 now costs $2.15. As consumers, we perceive inflation as goods becoming more expensive.  However, it’s not that goods are more expensive, per se. It’s that the dollars used to buy them are worth less.

This is a big deal to mortgage rates because mortgage bonds are denominated, bought, and sold in U.S. dollars.  As the dollar loses value to inflation, therefore, so does the value of every mortgage bond in existence. When bonds lose their value, investors don’t want them and bond prices fall.  Mortgage rates move opposite of bond prices. 

Prices down, rates up.

In today’s market, the relationship between inflation and mortgage rates is helping home buyers. The Cost of Living made its smallest annual gain in 6 years last month and the Fed has repeatedly said that inflation will stay low for some time. The combination is driving investors to buy mortgage bonds which, in turn, suppresses rates.

So long as it lasts, the cost of homeownership will remain relatively low. Combined with the expiring tax credit, the timing to buy a home may be as good as it gets.

Loan modifications are increasingly gaining traction

Friday, March 12th, 2010, 1:01 pm  –  From HousingWire.com

A year into the Home Affordable Modification Program (HAMP), servicers converted 170,207 permanent modifications through February, up from 116,297 in January, according to the US Treasury Department.

The Treasury launched HAMP in March 2009 to provide capped incentives to servicers for the modification of loans on the verge of foreclosure. To address critics that claim HAMP isn’t having the effect of reaching its target 3m to 4m borrowers, a House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform in February began an investigation of HAMP on concerns of the “effectiveness and efficiency” of the program.

According to the latest Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) transaction report, the 113 participating servicers under HAMP can earn a total cap of $36.9bn. The Treasury has slated $75bn for the program. Borrowers in HAMP received a median savings of $518 a month, or 36% of the payment before the modification.

More than 91,843 active trial modifications need only a borrower signature to become permanent, totaling more than 260,00 permanent modifications approved by servicers. More than 835,000 three-month trial modifications began through February. Active modifications – both trials and permanent modifications – totaled more than 1m.

Wells Fargo (WFC: 30.28 0.00%) completed 24,975 permanent modifications, leading all servicers again. Wells had 17,652 permanent modifications in January. In February, Wells had active modifications on 37% of its 379,357 HAMP-eligible loans, up from 38% in January.

Bank of America (BAC: 17.03 0.00%) provided 20,666 permanent modifications through February, the second-highest volume of all servicers and an increase from 12,761 in January. In November, BofA had 98 permanent modifications. BofA has active modifications on 24% of the more than 1m mortgages in its HAMP-eligible portfolio in February, up from 22% in January.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM: 43.24 0.00%) had the third most permanent modifications at 19,385 through February, up from 11,581 in January. In February, JPM had active modifications on 39% of the 437,323 loans in its HAMP-eligible portfolio, up from 38% in January.

CitiMortgage, a subsidiary of Citigroup (C: 4.05 0.00%), provided 15,607 permanent modifications through February, taking its place as the fourth-largest servicer in terms of volume, up from 10,929 in January when it ranked fifth. It has 52% of its 249,901 HAMP-eligible loans in active modifications.

GMAC provided 14,675 permanent modifications, dropping to the fifth highest of any servicer, from January when it was the fourth-highest with 11,494 permanent modifications. GMAC has 66,289 loans in its HAMP-eligible portfolio and started active modifications on 53% of them, the highest of any servicer and up from 50% in January.

To qualify for HAMP, a mortgage must have a current unpaid principal balance of less than $729,750 be occupied by the owner and originated prior to Jan. 1, 2009. Qualifying borrowers must be employed. More than 57% of the borrowers who received permanent modifications claimed a loss of income as the predominant reason for hardship, the same percentage in January. More than 10% claimed excessive obligation, and 2% claimed illness of the principal borrower.

Despite the increases in permanent modifications from 31,382 in November, when the Treasury began reporting that statistic, officials admit the program is not for every borrower. Seth Wheeler, senior adviser to the Treasury when speaking at the American Securitization Forum (ASF) in Washington, DC, said the Treasury is adjusting its focus away from modifications as HAMP is not always the best solution.

A new program, the Home Affordable Foreclosures Alternatives (HAFA), will provide incentives to servicers to provide short sales and deeds-in-lieu of foreclosure. HAFA launches in April 5, 2010 as lenders and officials buffer against potential fraud cases. ( End of article.)

ALL the lenders above, and most of the Country’s larger lenders are gearing up to implement the new HAFA program, mentioned above, which promises to provide improvements in short sales, in both speed to process, and in the number of short sales that become successful.

If YOU have a mortgage hardship now, or one on the horizon, NOW is a great time to seek assistance.  For more information on either a loan modification or a short sale, just give me a call, or shoot me an email.

 

A Rate-Locking Strategy For Today’s Fed Meeting

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from a scheduled 1-day meeting today, its second of the year. 

The FOMC has held the Fed Funds Rate in a target range of 0.000-0.250 percent since December 16, 2008, and the voting members of the Fed are expected to vote “no change” again today.

However, no change in the Fed Funds Rate doesn’t necessarily mean no change in mortgage rates.  This is because the Fed Funds Rate is a different interest rate from the rates home buyers get from a loan officer. 

• Fed Funds Rate : Short-term rate at which banks borrow from each other
• Mortgage Rate : Long-term rate of interest a homeowner pays on a mortgage

Mortgage rates are more responsive to what the Fed says as compared to what the Fed does. 

After each FOMC meeting, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke & Co issue a formal press release to the markets.  At roughly 400 words, the statement is a brief commentary on the strengths, weaknesses, and threats for the U.S. economy.

Wall Street watches the statement with great interest and this is why mortgage rates are often volatile on the days of an FOMC adjournment. One mention of a word like “inflation” and traders rush to dump their mortgage bond positions.

Inflation is the enemy of mortgage rates.

After the Fed’s last meeting in January, it told us that the economy had “weakened further”, led by steep declines both in housing and employment. Global demand was off, too.  The negative tone of the Fed’s statement caused mortgage rates to fall to near an all-time low.

This month, expect a less gloomy message.

Since January, there’s been a modest rebound in housing, employment appears more stable, and Retail Sales just posted huge gains.  If the Fed alludes to improvement in any or all three, mortgage rates will likely reverse and zoom higher.

We can’t know what the Fed today will say so if you’re floating a mortgage rate and wondering whether to lock, the safe approach would be to do it today, prior to 2:15 PM ET.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : March 15, 2010

Mortgage markets worsened last week with little economic news to push markets in either direction. Momentum trading and rebalancing of portfolios drove mortgage rates higher, on average.

FHA and conventional mortgage rates rose last week, marking the first time that’s happened this month.

Mortgage rates have been on impressive run lately and mortgages are priced far better than what most experts predicted. Weaker-than-expected economic data is one reason why. Lack of economic data may be another.

This week, however, data returns.

• Monday : Industrial Production and Home Builder Index
• Tuesday : Housing Starts and Building Permits
• Wednesday: Consumer Confidence
• Thursday : Producer Price Index and Initial Jobless Claims
• Friday : Consumer Price Index and Continuing Jobless Claims

And, as if all that weren’t enough to spook you, the Federal Open Market Committee meets for a scheduled, 1-day event Tuesday.

The Federal Reserve is expected to vote to hold the Fed Funds Rate in its current target range near 0.000%, but that doesn’t mean mortgage rates won’t change. Markets are responsive to the FOMC’s post-meeting press release and any clear talk of economic strengthening should drive rates higher.

Wall Street is in Wait-and-See Mode and this week will give it plenty to look at.

If you’re floating a mortgage rate, or waiting to lock, be prepared for wild swings in mortgage rates — especially leading up to Tuesday afternoon’s FOMC adjournment. The Fed adjourns at 2:15 PM.

How To Refinance When Your Home Is Underwater

The Federal Housing Finance Agency has extended the government’s Home Affordable Refinance Program by 12 months.

HARP’s new end date is June 30, 2011.

Originally known as Making Home Affordable, HARP aims to help homeowners refinance their mortgage who may otherwise be ineligible because of falling home values.

There are 4 basic HARP criteria every borrower must meet:

1. The existing home loan must be guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac.
2. Your home must be a 1- to 4-unit property
3. You must have a perfect mortgage payment history going back 12 months. No 30-day lates allowed.
4. Your first mortgage balance must be 125% or less of your home’s market value

If you’re not sure whether Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac back your mortgage, you can look it up. Fannie’s website is http://www.fanniemae.com/loanlookup; Freddie’s is http://freddiemac.com/mymortgage. If you don’t locate your loan on either website, your mortgage is backed by a third-party and is not HARP-eligible.

For homeowners that meet HARP’s criteria, there are some underwriting details of which to be aware.

First, if your original mortgage does not require mortgage insurance, your HARP mortgage will not require it, either — regardless of your new loan-to-value.

Second, all HARP refinances require income verification. It doesn’t matter if your original mortgage was a stated income or no income verification loan. You should expect to produce 1040s and W-2s for your HARP refinance and asset statements, too.

And, lastly, second (and third) mortgages may not be “rolled in” to a new first mortgage loan balance. Junior lien holders must agree to remain in a junior lien position, regardless of combined loan-to-value.

There is a thorough HARP FAQ section on the government’s website, but it’s for general questions only. For specific Home Affordable Refinance Program information, first make sure you’re program-eligible, then pick up the phone to call your loan officer.

HARP is complex enough that you’ll want to talk with a human before taking a proper next step.

Don’t Rush To Refinance That ARM — It May Be Adjusting To 3 Percent Or Lower

If your mortgage is set to adjust this year, the smart move may be to let it. Today’s conforming mortgages are adjusting lower than ever before — as low as 3 percent. It may not be what you expected when you signed for your ARM several years ago.

The reason why ARMs are adjusting lower is because of how they’re made.

When conforming adjustable-rate mortgages adjust, they adjust according to a pre-determined formula. The formula is the sum of a constant and a variable. The constant is usually 2.25 percent and the variable is a daily-changing interest rate called LIBOR.

The formula looks like this:

New Mortgage Rate = LIBOR + 2.250 percent

LIBOR is an acronym for London Interbank Offered Rate. It’s an interest rate at which banks borrow money from each other. In Fall 2008, when Lehman Brothers fell and sparked a global banking fear, LIBOR spiked as the risk of inter-bank borrowing jumped.

Since then, however, LIBOR is down.

Normalcy is returning to banking and the timing couldn’t be better for homeowners with ARMs. 15 months ago, a homeowner’s ARM may have adjusted to 6 1/2 percent. Today, that same ARM falls to just above 3.

As a strategy play, it might make sense to let your ARM adjust. Or, because fixed rates are still near 5 percent, converting that ARM to a long-term fixed-rate product might make sense, too. The decision is a balance between how low do you want your payment, and how long might you live in your home.

The longer you stay, the more it might make sense to switch to fixed-rate, even though ARM rates are so low.

If you’ve got an adjusting ARM, talk to your loan officer about your choices. Once March ends and the Fed withdraws its mortgage market support, mortgage rates may rise and the fixed-rate option may be gone.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : March 8, 2010

Mortgage markets improved last week in low-volume trading.

Between
Monday to Thursday, Wall Street focused on the upcoming jobs reports
and mortgage markets gained while traders jockeyed for position.
Mortgage rates drifted lower through Thursday afternoon. But, then,
after a better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls report Friday morning, mortgage markets — and mortgage rates — reversed.

Overall, mortgage rates dropped last week, but only by a small margin. Rates were best Thursday afternoon.

It was the second consecutive week in which mortgage rates fell.

Last
week was also interesting in that both stock markets and bond markets
improved, proving that rates don’t always rise when stock prices do.
455 of the S&P 500 companies posted gains last week.

If
you’re shopping for a home or a refinance, though, don’t rest on your
laurels. After Friday’s big sell-off, this week opens into a major
headwind and, plus, the Federal Reserve’s support for mortgage markets ends in just 3 weeks.

This
week, without much data to influence traders, the upward momentum in
rates may have little cause to temper. We’ll see the Consumer
Confidence numbers on Tuesday and Retail Sales on Friday. Beyond that,
there’s not much else.

After last week’s performance, conforming
mortgage rates may be poised to rise rather sharply. If you’re waiting
for the right time to lock your rate, it may have been this past
Thursday. Consider locking your rate early this week to protect against
further rate hikes.